My thoughts on the subject:
Ailiphilia is a For The Fun alliance, so probably will just try to cause maximum mayhem, ut in the end drop a bit back, and start playing havoc with the allianses 5-10th
OF is by their own admission not that active as the top three, and many have IRL commitments... (Life creeps up on you when you are past 30, amirit?) So I doubt they will come out as the best of the losers.
That leaves Enmity and S2N. Now _my_ impression is that Twigley have a bit more control and plan to his ally than JJ, so if pushed I might put my money on them.
But it should be interesting to see. Still half a round to go, loads can happen!